Occupation intelligence

thermal engineer

Snapshot

Are you fascinated by how heat and energy move? As a thermal engineer, you'll design and build systems that control temperature and energy transfer, playing a crucial role in industries from aerospace to manufacturing. This expert-level role combines scientific principles with practical engineering solutions.

Summary

Thermal engineers are professionals specializing in the application of thermodynamics to design, develop, and test systems involving heat transfer. Your daily work might involve modelling complex thermal processes using software, selecting appropriate materials for high-temperature environments, or troubleshooting performance issues in existing heating and cooling infrastructure. You’ll leverage your understanding of liquids, gases, and energy to optimise efficiency and ensure safety.

Key responsibilities
  • • Designing and modelling thermal systems, such as HVAC systems, heat exchangers, and cooling solutions.
  • • Conducting tests and analyses to validate system performance and identify areas for improvement.
  • • Selecting materials and components that can withstand extreme temperatures and pressures.
52%
Resilience Score · 2026 (Higher is better)
Bachelor's or equivalent level 35% AI exposure
Start Career DNA assessment
Labour market

Where this occupation is in demand

Reported labour shortages and surpluses, by year. Published for occupation groups, not for individual job titles.

Shortage reportedSurplus reportedReported in another yearNot covered by this source

Deeper colour: reported the same way in more consecutive years.

Figures cover Science and engineering professionals — 274 jobs including this one.

8 of 13 in shortage202529 of 30 growing3.9Mopenings to 2035

In shortage: Belgium, Bulgaria, Denmark, Ireland and 4 more.

Longest-running shortage: Ireland, 4 years.

Select a place on the map to see its figures.

About this source

Source: ELA/EURES labour shortages and surpluses. Readings are published at occupation-group level, and cover Europe. Editions differ in annex layout and country coverage, so a change between years does not always mean the labour market changed. Countries in grey were not reported, which is not the same as being in balance.

Explore More

Find your career path and explore the science behind our recommendations.

Guiding others? See NexPath for schools and practices.
Quick fit check

Could thermal engineer fit you?

Answer three quick questions. This is not a full assessment — it is a teaser to help you decide whether to compare your profile.

Progress0/3

Do you enjoy tasks that require Attention to Detail?

Do you enjoy tasks that require Integrity?

Do you enjoy tasks that require Dependability?

NexFuture™

Future Outlook for thermal engineer

The outlook for thermal engineer reflects a balanced mix of automation exposure and durable, human-led work.

How are these scores calculated?

The Resilience Score (0–100) estimates how structurally protected this occupation is from automation and AI disruption, based on task-level analysis. Higher scores mean more human-judgment-intensive tasks. AI Exposure shows the estimated percentage of task hours that current AI capabilities could affect. These are model-derived structural indicators, not predictions about individual job security.

Play the future

How could thermal engineer change as AI adoption grows?

This role is likely to change gradually, with AI supporting selected tasks rather than replacing the whole occupation.

Significant task-level transformation is estimated in 15 years (around 2041) under the selected Expected Pace scenario.
~50%
Resilience
Automation Risk
EXP~35%
Human advantage
MOAT~55%

Illustrative scenario based on task automatability — not a forecast. Values are rounded the further ahead you look.

2026
2034
2046
AI Adoption Speed:

How AI may change this role

Deterministic, model-based interpretation of current role signals — not a guarantee of replacement.

Human-owned 52% Human-owned
What still depends on people
  • provide information on geothermal heat pumps
  • troubleshoot
  • manage engineering project
The Human Edge To stay ahead in this role, focus on engineering processes and heat transfer processes. These human-centric skills are the hardest for AI to replicate in the next 20 years.
Assist 14% Assist
Where AI may become a co-pilot
  • perform a feasibility study on electric heating
  • perform a feasibility study on heat pumps
  • use technical drawing software
Automate 35% Automate
Tasks most exposed to automation

No single task here is highly automatable yet.

Detailed Analysis

Vital Signs & AI Vectors

AI Exposure Vectors

0-100%
AI / Machine Learning 14%

Exposure to AI-assisted analysis, pattern recognition, and predictive modelling tasks

Generative AI 10%

Exposure to content generation, creative augmentation, and large language model tools

Robotic & Physical Automation 2%

Exposure to physical automation, robotics, and sensor-driven task displacement

Cognitive Software 0%

Exposure to workflow automation, decision-support software, and process digitisation

Technical Details
Methodology: NexFuture v3.0 Sources: O*NET® 30.3, ESCO v1.2.1 Updated: Aug 2026

NexFuture v3.0 estimates automation exposure natively from ESCO essential-skill groups, weighted by skill mass and calibrated against expert anchors. Scores are probabilistic estimates, not guarantees. See the NexFuture Methodology White Paper for full details.

Measures automation exposure. It does not measure pay, demand, or how many jobs exist near you.

Day in the life

What people in this role usually do

Advanced Manufacturing

Day in the life

A typical day as a thermal engineer

09
09:00 · Morning
design an electric heating system
Design the details of electric heating systems. Calculate the needed capacity for space heating under given conditions complying with available electrical power supply.
10
10:30 · Mid-morning
design passive energy measures
Design systems that achieve energy performance using passive measures (i.e. natural light and ventilation, control of solar gains), are less prone to failures and without maintenance costs and requirements. Complement passive measures with as few as necessary active measures.
12
12:00 · Midday
design thermal equipment
Conceptually design equipment for healing and cooling using heat transfer principles such as conduction, convection, radiation and combustion. The temperature for these devices should stay stable and optimal, since they continually move heat around the system.
14
14:00 · Afternoon
design thermal requirements
Engineer level design requirements for thermal products such as telecom systems. Improve and optimize these designs by using thermal solutions or experimentation and validation techniques.
15
15:30 · Late afternoon
interpret 2D plans
Interpret and understand plans and drawings in manufacturing processes which include representations in two dimensions.
17
17:00 · Wrap-up
operate solar thermal energy systems for hot water and heating
Use solar tube collectors systems to generate and store domestic potable hot water and heating, in order to increase energy performance.

Task order is illustrative. Individual days vary.

Software & Technologies & Knowledge areas
Software & Technologies
360 Analytics eQUESTAIRMaster+Architectural Energy Corporation ENFORMA Building DiagnosticsArchitectural Energy Corporation VisualDOEAutodesk AutoCADAutodesk EcotectC++Carrier Hourly Analysis Program HAPChilled Water System Analysis Tool CWSATCombined Heat and Power Application Tool CHPCool Roof CalculatorDesignBuilder Software DesignBuilderDOE-2EffTec EffTrackEnergy Efficient Rehab AdvisorEnergyPlusEnergySoft EnergyProFacility Energy Decision Systems FEDSFan System Assessment Tool FSATFederal Renewable Energy Screening Assistant FRESA
Knowledge areas
  • engineering processes

    The systematic approach to the development and maintenance of engineering systems.

  • heat transfer processes

    Field of information which distinguishes three types of heat transfers, such as conduction, convection and radiation. These processes set limits to the performance of thermal engineered components and systems.

  • mechanical engineering

    Discipline that applies principles of physics, engineering and materials science to design, analyse, manufacture and maintain mechanical systems.

  • thermal materials

    Field of information which distinguishes different kinds of thermally conductive and interface materials such as thermal modules used in electronic instrumentation and several energy applications. Their intention is to dissipate heat.

  • combined heat and power generation

    Technology that generates electricity and captures the heat that would otherwise be wasted to provide steam or hot water, that can be used for space heating, cooling, domestic hot water and industrial processes, thus contributing to energy performance.

  • distribution of heating cooling and hot water

    The design principles of water distribution systems for heating, cooling and domestic hot water and the relation with insulation, energy saving by optimal hydraulic design. The nature of energy loss in these systems caused by heat transfer, pressure loss (resistance of tubes and valves) and electrical power for pumps and valves.

Cross-sector skills
  • engineering principles
  • fluid mechanics
  • mechanics
Essential skills
analysing business operations
  • perform a feasibility study on electric heating

    Perform the evaluation and assessment of the potential of electric heating. Realise a standardised study to determine whether the application of electric heating is appropriate under the given condition and conduct research to support the process of decision making.

  • perform a feasibility study on heat pumps

    Perform the evaluation and assessment of the potential of a heat pump system. Realise a standardised study to determine costs and restrictions, and conduct research to support the process of decision making.

designing industrial materials, systems or products
  • adjust engineering designs

    Adjust designs of products or parts of products so that they meet requirements.

  • design thermal equipment

    Conceptually design equipment for healing and cooling using heat transfer principles such as conduction, convection, radiation and combustion. The temperature for these devices should stay stable and optimal, since they continually move heat around the system.

using computer aided design and drawing tools
  • use technical drawing software

    Create technical designs and technical drawings using specialised software.

  • use thermal analysis

    Use software tools such as Icepak, Fluens and FloTHERM as a means to develop and optimize thermal control designs in order to cope with a wide range of difficult problems regarding thermal products and properties of thermal materials.

designing systems and products
  • design an electric heating system

    Design the details of electric heating systems. Calculate the needed capacity for space heating under given conditions complying with available electrical power supply.

  • approve engineering design

    Give consent to the finished engineering design to go over to the actual manufacturing and assembly of the product.

designing electrical or electronic systems or equipment
  • design engineering components

    Design engineering parts, assemblies, products, or systems.

  • design passive energy measures

    Design systems that achieve energy performance using passive measures (i.e. natural light and ventilation, control of solar gains), are less prone to failures and without maintenance costs and requirements. Complement passive measures with as few as necessary active measures.

interpreting technical documentation and diagrams
  • interpret 3D plans

    Interpret and understand plans and drawings in manufacturing processes which include representations in three dimensions.

  • interpret 2D plans

    Interpret and understand plans and drawings in manufacturing processes which include representations in two dimensions.

advising on environmental issues
  • provide information on geothermal heat pumps

    Provide organisations and individuals searching for alternative methods to provide buildings with energy on the cost, benefits, and negative aspects of the installation and use of geothermal heat pumps for utility services, and what one must take into account when considering the purchase and installation of geothermal heat pumps.

developing solutions
  • troubleshoot

    Identify operating problems, decide what to do about it and report accordingly.

Skill DNA

Skill DNA

Work personality traits and values that define this role

Key traits you need
Attention to Detail Integrity Dependability Analytical Thinking Cooperation Initiative Persistence Adaptability/Flexibility Stress Tolerance Innovation Achievement/Effort Self-Control Leadership Independence Concern for Others Social Orientation
Key rewards you can expect
AchievementWorking Condit…RecognitionRelationshipsSupportIndependence
Career progression

Growth Pathways & Similar Roles

Explore typical career progression paths, adjacent skills, and similar roles to plan your next transition.

Common questions

Frequently asked questions

What kind of industries employ thermal engineers?
Thermal engineers are in demand across a wide range of sectors, including aerospace, automotive, power generation, manufacturing, building services (HVAC), and even food processing. Any industry that relies on efficient heating, cooling, or energy transfer will likely have a need for thermal engineering expertise.
What skills are most important for a thermal engineer?
Strong analytical and problem-solving skills are essential. You’ll also need a solid understanding of thermodynamics, heat transfer, fluid mechanics, and materials science. Proficiency in simulation software (e.g., ANSYS, COMSOL) and CAD tools is highly valuable.
Is this a role that often requires fieldwork or lab work?
While much of the work involves design and analysis, thermal engineers often spend time conducting tests, inspecting equipment, and troubleshooting issues on-site. Lab work may be involved in material testing and validation of prototypes.
Thermal Engineer — is there a shortage in Europe?
Yes. In the 2025 ELA/EURES edition, a shortage was reported in 8 of the 13 European countries that assessed this occupation group: Belgium, Bulgaria, Denmark, Spain and 4 more. Ireland has reported one for 4 consecutive years. These assessments are published per occupation group rather than per job title.
Thermal Engineer — what does it pay in the United States?
$117,750 a year at the median, as of 2025-05. State medians run from $76,100 to $162,070. Source: US Bureau of Labor Statistics. This is a United States figure and not a projection for Europe.